Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Pick and Prediction

Sports betting analyst Nick Galaida previews Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds for Sunday, April 10. Use our Caesars sign-up bonus to get $1100 first-bet insurance, and check out our Arizona sports betting page for more offers!

Padres vs. Diamondback Odds

On Saturday afternoon, the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks will conclude their opening weekend series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won on Thursday evening in heroic fashion, but have dropped each of the last two contests heading into this one. Today, San Diego will send Blake Snell to the hill, who will be opposed by Caleb Smith. Oddsmakers anticipate the Padres securing their third consecutive victory in this one, pricing them as -164 favorites on the moneyline.

Let’s take a deeper look at the matchup to see where MLB bettors can find value at sportsbook for this matchup.

San Diego Padres

Snell finished last year with poor numbers, but he quietly posted a 1.83 ERA and a 2.00 FIP in his final seven turns through the rotation. Snell’s problems are somewhat obvious–a 1.95 FIP and an 8.2 percent walk-rate against left-handed batters, but a 4.46 FIP and a 13.8 percent walk-rate against right-handed hitters. If Snell is not particularly effective on Sunday, it could create a problem for the Padres, considering that they had one of the worst offenses against southpaws in 2021–ranking 24th in OPS.

San Diego used Tim Hill, Dinelson Lamet, and Taylor Rogers on Friday before turning to Steven Wilson, Pierce Johnson, and Rogers again on Saturday. Rogers is likely the only member of this unit unavailable on Sunday, but there is some fatigue throughout the entire bullpen.

Arizona Diamondbacks

As a starter in 2021, Smith posted a dreadful 6.35 FIP, 15.2 percent walk rate, and a 1.60 WHIP in 57.0 innings of work. He was much better in appearances out of the arm barn, with a 3.84 FIP, 9.7 percent walk-rate, and a 1.15 FIP across 56.2 innings. Smith does an excellent job limiting hard contact, but often creates his own problems with his poor command. Still, he has a semi-favorable matchup this afternoon against a Padres offense that is far from elite against left-handed pitching.

Though the Diamondbacks were one of the worst teams in baseball last year, they were much closer to mediocre when facing southpaws–ranking 14th in OPS at the plate. Depending on the final lineup card, there could be quite a few matchup problems for Snell to contend with in this one.

Similar to San Diego, Arizona could be dealing with some bullpen fatigue heading into the series finale. This unit burned four relievers yesterday and four relievers on Friday night. Already bereft of talent, this is not a group that is likely to perform well if they are not well rested.

Free MLB Betting Pick For Today

Both the Padres and the Diamondbacks have been abysmal at the plate during the early portion of the campaign. None of the first three games of this series have totaled more than seven runs scored. On Sunday, bettors should expect more of the same between two capable pitchers and two underwhelming offensive attacks. Take the under.

• PICK: Over 9.5 runs (-110)