2022 Scottish Open Round 4 Picks

We are seeing some really tough links-style golf through the first three rounds and I am excited to see who is crowned the 2022 Scottish Open champion tomorrow. 

The wind should be a little lower than we have seen over the last three days.  That will make this course much more favorable for scoring and will allow more golfers to climb the leaderboard.  Currently Xander Schauffele is the leader by two strokes over Rafe Cabrera Bello.  Jordan Spieth, Jordan Smith, and Ryan Palmer sit three shots back.  

Xander Schauffele is currently sitting at -110 on DraftKings sportsbook to be the outright winner.  He certainly can win this tournament, but that isn’t where my money is going to go.  There are so many variables on a links course that I can’t justify betting the favorite.  Below I will break down who I will be betting on for tomorrow’s final round of the Scottish Open and their respective golf odds.

Scottish Open Round 4 Best Bets

Jordan Spieth +650 to win

Since I am fading Xander Schauffele tomorrow I want to get exposure to who I consider to be the next best golfer.  He is currently sitting three shots back of the lead, but I am not intimidated by that deficit.  Spieth has the creativity around the greens and superior driving skills to make a run at Xander.  I think these odds are very fair.  Spieth will not have the pressure of having to play in the final group which I think will help him.  Both Spieth and Xander have practically the same strokes gained profile except that Xander has gained over a stroke on approach.  If Xander slips just a little bit tomorrow I think that Spieth will be right there to take over the lead. 

Alex Smalley +4500 to win and +340 to top-5

For those that want a longer shot to take down the Scottish Open, I would take a play on Alex Smalley. I continue to be extremely impressed by him. His tee to green and ball striking numbers are truly impressive.  His biggest issue is with the putter.  He is the only golfer in the top 20 that has lost strokes putting for the event.  However in round 3 he was able to gain 1.91 strokes with the putter and was able to shoot a very impressive -3.  If he can keep up with the flat stick momentum, his superior tee to green will help him climb up the leaderboard.  He only sits one shot back of a top-5 finish and while it is tough to hit a 45-1 shot I really like the +340 for a top-5.